Published

Constructing Confidence Intervals for BIFSG Disparity Estimates – with Elena Derby and Jake Mortenson
- AEA Papers and Proceedings, May 2024 (Link, SSRN)
- Looks at sources of uncertainty when using imputed race and ethnicity to learn about disparities

Working Papers

Statistical Bias in Racial and Ethnic Disparity Estimates Using BIFSG – with Elena Derby and Jake Mortenson
- Uses high quality data to estimate the statistical bias caused when using imputed race and ethnicity to estimate disparities
- Paper here
Inference in Sythetic Controls with Spillovers – with Jianfei Cao
- Synthetic Control designs rely on SUTVA for inference. In settings (like spread of covid), where one state’s actions affect outcomes in neighboring states, this may not be reasonable.
- Our paper allows valid inference under weaker assumptions that the spillovers are contained to a known group of states.
- Slides, Paper (and an older copy on arXiv)
- Code: R, Matlab
A new ECDF Two-Sample Test Statistic
- Approximately the integral of variance weighted ECDF differences.
- High power in variety of settings. (See comparisons to maximal power (T-test and F-test) in the paper)
- paper here (and on arXiv)
Partial Identification for Regression Discontinuity Donuts
- Conducting valid inference in an RD setting with (limited) manipulation.
- Leverage smoothness conditions to avoid functional form assumptions within region of donut.
- Paper here
- Slides

Taxation of Trusts
High Dimensional F-tests – with Panos Toulis and Wenxuan Guo
- F-tests, based on the R-squared, lose validity and power in high-dimensional settings where R-squared = 1. We propose an alternative which is valid under standard conditions, is easily calculated, and has good power properties.
Waiting for the Hot Hand – with Sam Hirshman and Prof. Nick Polson
- Using sequence wait-time metrics to find the anti-hot-hand in NBA shooting data.
Credit Card Repayment Strategies
- Looking at strategies that minimize downside risk in the Covid era using transunion data.